---
title: "Milwaukee vs San Francisco"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/milwaukee-vs-san-francisco-kalshi-6ebc37ab
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-29T01:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-05T01:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-29T04:54:24+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6620980.46
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-15T01:18:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-san-francisco-kalshi-6ebc37ab
---

# Milwaukee vs San Francisco

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-29 01:45 UTC · $6,620,980 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Milwaukee Brewers** won. Settled 2026-07-29.

## About

This is the July 28 game (Game 2 of the series), which appears to still be upcoming/live at snapshot time. The search results give good context. Let me now write the description.

This market covers the July 28 MLB game at Oracle Park between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants, the second of a three-game series. The moneyline market on Polymarket and Kalshi resolves in favour of whichever team wins the full nine-inning contest; additional Kalshi markets track partial-game outcomes (first three, five, and seven innings), run totals, spreads, and individual player props centred on Giants third baseman Rafael Devers and starting pitcher Landen Roupp.

The Brewers enter at 66–40 and first in the NL Central, while the Giants sit at 45–61 and fourth in the NL West. Milwaukee is the clear moneyline favourite, priced at 58.0% on both Polymarket and Kalshi, against San Francisco at 43.0% on Kalshi and 42.0% on Polymarket — a negligible 1.0-point cross-platform spread. The pitching matchup favours Milwaukee: Logan Henderson (4–1, 3.05 ERA) takes the ball for the Brewers, having struck out 47 batters across 38⅓ innings this season, against Landen Roupp, who carries a 3.93 ERA but a career-best 3.31 FIP in his third MLB season. Context from Game 1 adds a wrinkle: Grant McCray hit his first major league home run in nearly two years as San Francisco shut out Milwaukee 3–0 on Monday night, and it was the Brewers' fifth shutout of the season and their second in the last six games. Total-run markets lean high-scoring — Kalshi prices over 1.5 total runs at 98.0% and over 6.5 at 51.0% — suggesting bettors expect a more offensive affair in Game 2. Across all platforms, pricing is highly consistent, with virtually no exploitable spread on the headline moneyline.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-29; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Andrew Vaughn: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 4 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 15 outcomes
- Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 5 outcomes
- Hits — 55 outcomes
- RBIs — 2 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Jung Hoo Lee: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jung Hoo Lee: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Logan Henderson: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Willy Adames: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Drew Gilbert: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Garrett Mitchell: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Garrett Mitchell: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jake Bauers: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jake Bauers: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Christian Koss: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Christian Koss: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 39 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/103376?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/78391?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-san-francisco-kalshi-6ebc37ab.

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