---
title: "Milwaukee vs St. Louis"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/milwaukee-vs-st-louis-kalshi-4813d3e7
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-06T23:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-13T23:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-07T02:49:31+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9730387.17
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:51:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-st-louis-kalshi-4813d3e7
---

# Milwaukee vs St. Louis

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-06 23:45 UTC · $9,730,387 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Milwaukee Brewers** won. Settled 2026-07-07.

## About

The event centers on the July 6, 2026 MLB regular-season game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals, first pitch scheduled for 7:45 PM ET. Polymarket ran a straightforward moneyline where the market resolves to whichever team wins, while Kalshi carved the same matchup into dozens of derivatives — run totals, first-five-inning spreads, team totals, and player props for arms like Dustin May and Shane Drohan and bats including Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, Jordan Walker and Ivan Herrera.

On the headline moneyline, Milwaukee is the favourite at a consensus 72.5%, though the pricing diverges sharply across venues: Polymarket has the Brewers at 72.5% while Kalshi's yes-side sits at just 52.0%, a 20.5-point spread. The Cardinals show the mirror image, at 27.5% on Polymarket versus 49.0% on Kalshi — a gap that almost certainly reflects thin closing liquidity on the Kalshi contract rather than a genuine disagreement, given the event is already closed. Totals markets lean firmly to the over, with over 2.5 runs at 97.0%, over 4.5 at 85.0% and over 7.5 at 55.0%, implying a run environment in the eight-run range. Dustin May clearing two strikeouts prices at 92.0%, and Shane Drohan recording 4+ outs sits at 64.0%.

Taken together, Polymarket's moneyline reads Milwaukee as a clear favourite while Kalshi's stale line looks like a coin flip — a spread wide enough to flag as a data artifact rather than a real market signal.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-07; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Total Bases — 67 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 16 outcomes
- RBIs — 39 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 89 outcomes
- Home Runs — 32 outcomes
- Hits — 59 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Brice Turang: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Christian Yelich: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Christian Yelich: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- David Hamilton: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- David Hamilton: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 23 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4401?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5419?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-st-louis-kalshi-4813d3e7.

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