---
title: "Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/milwaukee-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-95ae7c68
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-28T00:00:01+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-27T08:42:36+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-28T04:31:14+00:00
total_volume_usd: 53201331.21
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:25:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-95ae7c68
---

# Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-28 00:00 UTC · $53,201,331 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Tampa Bay Rays** won. Settled 2026-10-28.

## About

This Game 4 market covers a World Series contest where the Milwaukee Brewers, holding a commanding 3-0 series lead, face the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field with a chance to complete a sweep. The "Tampa Bay Rays" outcome represents a Rays win that would extend the series, while "Milwaukee Brewers" reflects a Brewers victory that would clinch their first-ever World Series title. Across prediction markets, the Rays are priced as a narrow favorite at a 51.1% consensus, versus 49.1% for the Brewers, with Kalshi showing the widest Rays lean at 51.5% and Gemini the lowest at 51.0%. Cross-platform spread is modest but notable, at roughly 4.75 percentage points between the cheapest and most expensive entry points for each outcome, with Polymarket US offering Rays exposure as low as 47.0%.

The pricing is a bit surprising given the series context: only one team in postseason history has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit, and after a 10-1 blowout loss in Game 3, the Rays very much have an uphill climb. Traditional sportsbooks actually favored Milwaukee for Game 4, with Milwaukee Brewers at -125 and Tampa Bay Rays at +104, suggesting prediction-market pricing is somewhat more bullish on Tampa Bay than the betting markets. Milwaukee turns to Dustin May while the Rays counter with Griffin Jax as the two teams play an elimination game for Tampa Bay at home.

Taken together, the data shows a tightly contested, near coin-flip market despite Milwaukee's series lead, with prediction platforms essentially split and only minor venue-to-venue divergence in implied probabilities.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-28; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- First Inning Run — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 1st Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 3rd Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 4th Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 5th Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 6th Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 1+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 1+ Hits — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 1+ Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Griffin Jax: 2+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- 7th Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 8th Inning Winner — 3 outcomes
- 9th Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 8th Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 7th Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 6th Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 5th Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 4th Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 3rd Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- 1st Inning Winner: Milwaukee Brewers — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Milwaukee Brewers (f5) — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- First 7 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Chourio: 2+ Total Bases — 2 outcomes
- Cooper Pratt: 1+ Stolen Bases — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Griffin Jax: 1+ Hits Allowed — 1 outcomes
- … and 437 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/921576?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/915478?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1012688?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/934495?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/922353?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/milwaukee-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-95ae7c68).

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