---
title: "Minnesota Senate: margin of victory — On Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/minnesota-senate-margin-of-victory-on-nov-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 24695.95
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:17:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/minnesota-senate-margin-of-victory-on-nov-3-2026
---

# Minnesota Senate: margin of victory — On Nov 3, 2026

Live · $24,696 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Tafoya, 0-2% | — | — | — |
| Peggy Flanagan, 0-2% | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 2-4% | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Michele Tafoya, ≥2% | — | — | — |
| Peggy Flanagan, 4-6% | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 6-8% | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 8-10% | — | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 10-12% | — | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 12-14% | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, ≥14% | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/970189?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/minnesota-senate-margin-of-victory-on-nov-3-2026).

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