---
title: "Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/minnesota-vs-cleveland-kalshi-d683854b
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-26T23:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-28T23:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-27T02:02:09+00:00
total_volume_usd: 31689534.41
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Basketball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:24:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/minnesota-vs-cleveland-kalshi-d683854b
---

# Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-26 23:00 UTC · $31,689,534 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Cleveland Cavaliers** won. Settled 2026-10-27.

## About

This market tracks the live NBA matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Cleveland Cavaliers, tipped off October 26 at 7:00 PM ET, with resolution based on the final score including overtime. Each platform offers a binary outcome: a contract pays out if the Timberwolves win, and the inverse if the Cavaliers win.

As of the snapshot, the Cleveland Cavaliers are the consensus favourite at 63.5%, while the Minnesota Timberwolves sit at 36.5%. However, pricing is notably inconsistent across venues. Kalshi, Gemini, and Novig all cluster tightly around 63.5–63.7% for Cleveland, suggesting strong agreement among those books that the Cavaliers hold a clear edge, likely reflecting live in-game conditions since trading remains open through October 28. In sharp contrast, Polymarket and Polymarket US price the Timberwolves far higher, at 83.5% and 65.0% respectively, implying Cleveland odds of just 16.5% and 35.0% on those venues — a cross-platform spread exceeding 47 points on both outcomes. This divergence likely reflects stale or thin order books rather than genuine disagreement on game state, especially given Polymarket's otherwise substantial volume ($5.3M) despite the outlier pricing. Limitless shows a similarly skewed, likely stale, quote favouring Minnesota.

Kalshi dominates trading activity with $11.2M in volume and $6.7M in liquidity, making its 63.5% Cavaliers price arguably the most liquid and reliable signal among the venues. With no recent news needed to explain a stable, in-progress game, the takeaway is that while most liquid markets converge on Cleveland as a solid favourite, thinner or slower-updating platforms are showing a dramatically different, likely outdated, picture.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-27; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Exact Margin: Timberwolves by 1-5 — 2 outcomes
- Overtime? — 2 outcomes
- Race to 10 — 2 outcomes
- Race to 20 — 2 outcomes
- Race to 30 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- Race to 10 Points — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Winning Margin — 8 outcomes
- Total O/U 204.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 233.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers −32.5 — 2 outcomes
- 4th Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 2nd Half - Minnesota Timberwolves Total Points Over/Under — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 38 outcomes
- Race to 20 Points — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Jarrett Allen: 6+ Assists — 1 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 26+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Evan Mobley: 18+ Points — 2 outcomes
- James Harden: 17+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Jarrett Allen: 14+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Peyton Watson: 13+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Jaylon Tyson: 10+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Evan Mobley: 9+ Rebounds — 2 outcomes
- Jarrett Allen: 9+ Rebounds — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 5+ Rebounds — 2 outcomes
- James Harden: 5+ Rebounds — 2 outcomes
- Peyton Watson: 5+ Rebounds — 2 outcomes
- Jaylon Tyson: 5+ Rebounds — 2 outcomes
- James Harden: 7+ Assists — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 5+ Assists — 2 outcomes
- Evan Mobley: 4+ Assists — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 10+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 15+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 20+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 25+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 30+ Points — 2 outcomes
- Donovan Mitchell: 35+ Points — 2 outcomes
- … and 964 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/999017?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/954756?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/918118?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/982654?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/999222?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/913583?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/810105?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/minnesota-vs-cleveland-kalshi-d683854b).

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