---
title: "MLB: Batting Average Leader"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/mlb-batting-average-leader
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-16T03:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-28T01:55:18+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1390604.17
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-06T21:21:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mlb-batting-average-leader
---

# MLB: Batting Average Leader

Settled · $1,390,604 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Yordan Alvarez** won. Settled 2026-09-28.

## About

This market resolves to whichever qualified hitter finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest batting average, with a defined tiebreaker chain running through hits, doubles, home runs, and finally alphabetical order by last name. It's listed on Polymarket, where roughly $1.34M has traded, and mirrored on Polymarket US.

Yordan Alvarez sits as the consensus favourite at 43.0%, narrowly ahead of Luis Arraez at 41.5%. The gap is slim enough that the race effectively looks like a two-horse contest, with a long tail of contenders — Alec Burleson (17.0%), Brendan Donovan (16.0%), Michael Harris II (15.0%), Jake Mangum (14.5%) and Juan Soto (14.0%) — each carrying non-trivial but distant chances.

The cross-platform pricing is where things get interesting. Alvarez trades at 35.5% on Polymarket versus 61.0% on Polymarket US, a striking 25-point gap. Burleson shows a similar pattern (0.4% on Polymarket, 33.0% on Polymarket US), as do Jeremy Peña, Drake Baldwin, Jacob Wilson, and Andy Pages, all of whom read near zero on Polymarket but double-digit on Polymarket US. The takeaway: the two venues broadly agree on Arraez but diverge sharply on Alvarez and several mid-tier names, leaving the favourite's true implied probability meaningfully unsettled between books.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-20; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5036?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299687?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mlb-batting-average-leader).

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