---
title: "MLS Cup Winner 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/mls-cup-winner-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-08T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 26449910.82
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-06T21:53:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mls-cup-winner-2026
---

# MLS Cup Winner 2026

Live · $26,449,911 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

The 2026 MLS Cup Winner market tracks which club will claim the league's championship for the upcoming season, with each outcome representing a single team lifting the trophy. Pricing is currently listed on Polymarket and Kalshi, which together have driven more than $25.5 million in volume since the market opened.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits atop the board as the favourite at a 18.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Nashville SC at 16.9% and Inter Miami CF at 16.3%. This tight three-way spread at the top suggests no dominant front-runner has emerged this early in the season, with bettors spreading risk across several contenders. Nashville SC shows the widest cross-platform divergence among the leaders, with Kalshi pricing it at 18.5%... excuse me, at 16.0% versus Polymarket's 18.3%, a 2.8-point gap that is the largest of any outcome in the dataset. St. Louis City SC rounds out the next tier at 7.2%, followed by Philadelphia Union at 6.6%, while the remaining field thins quickly into single digits and fractional percentages for long-shot clubs like Sporting Kansas City, CF Montréal, and D.C. United.

Most mid-and-lower-tier outcomes show tight agreement between Polymarket and Kalshi, with spreads under a point, indicating broadly consistent pricing across venues despite differing liquidity levels. Overall, the market reflects an early-season, wide-open title race rather than a clear consensus favourite, with pricing still fairly aligned across the two platforms that cover this event.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-25; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 24% | 24¢ on Polymarket | 25¢ | 24¢ |
| Inter Miami CF | 17% | 18¢ on Polymarket | 17¢ | 18¢ |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 16% | 15¢ on Polymarket | 18¢ | 15¢ |
| Dallas | 7% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ | 6.9¢ |
| St. Louis City SC | 5% | 5.5¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ | 5.5¢ |
| Philadelphia Union | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 6.6¢ |
| New England | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 5.2¢ |
| Los Angeles FC | 5% | 5¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 5¢ |
| Chicago | 4% | 4.6¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 4.6¢ |
| Houston | 3% | 2.9¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 2.9¢ |
| Charlotte | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | 3.4¢ |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3% | 2.6¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ | 2.6¢ |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.5¢ |
| FC Cincinnati | 0.9% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Colorado | 0.8% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 0.7% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.7¢ |
| Columbus | 0.5% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.6¢ |
| Portland Timbers | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Orlando | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Real Salt Lake | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.3¢ |
| New York City FC | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| San Diego | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Minnesota United FC | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| New York Red Bulls | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Toronto | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Atlanta United FC | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Austin | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| D.C. United | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Sporting Kansas City | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| CF Montréal | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2534?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4885?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/mls-cup-winner-2026).

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