---
title: "Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/moodys-or-sp-downgrades-france-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 43.85
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:32:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/moodys-or-sp-downgrades-france-by
---

# Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

Live · $44 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France, at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying downgrade by either agency is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes." A downgrade by both agencies is not required.

For purposes of this market, “long-term sovereign credit rating” means any of the following: S&P Global Ratings’ long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit rating or long-term local-currency sovereign credit rating on France; or Moody’s Ratings’ long-term issuer rating or senior unsecured rating on the Government of France. A lowering of any of these qualifies.

A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade), an affirmation of an existing rating, a withdrawal of a rating, or a change to a short-term rating will not qualify. Only a lowering of a long-term sovereign credit rating itself will qualify.

Rating actions by any agency other than Moody's Ratings and S&P Global Ratings — including Fitch Ratings, Scope Ratings and DBRS Morningstar — will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings), together with the Agence France Trésor published ratings page (https://www.aft.gouv.fr/en/frances-credit-ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## November 30

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Other markets

- October 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/775583?via=md)

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