---
title: "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/naim-qassem-out-as-hezbollahs-secretary-general-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 945321.5
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:21:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/naim-qassem-out-as-hezbollahs-secretary-general-by
---

# Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Live · $945,322 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 9.3¢ on Polymarket | 9.3¢ |
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |

## Other markets

- March 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- April 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/312189?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/naim-qassem-out-as-hezbollahs-secretary-general-by.

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