---
title: "Napolitano vs Barrena"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/napolitano-vs-barrena
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-15T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-22T08:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-16T11:05:21+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1054577.21
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:29:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/napolitano-vs-barrena
---

# Napolitano vs Barrena

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC · $1,054,577 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Stefano Napolitano** won. Settled 2026-07-16.

## About

This market covered the ATP Challenger Cordenons Round of 16 tennis match between Stefano Napolitano and Alex Barrena, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026. On Polymarket, a "Napolitano" resolution required him to advance; on Kalshi, it required him to win after a ball was played. The event is now closed, with roughly $1.0M in total volume, the vast majority routed through Kalshi ($1,003,884) versus about $49,000 on Polymarket and negligible activity on Azuro.

Stefano Napolitano was the overwhelming favourite on the main head-to-head, with a cross-platform consensus of 99.0%. Polymarket priced him at 99.9% and Kalshi at 99.0%, leaving Alex Barrena at 1.0% on Kalshi and just 0.1% on Polymarket. That near-unanimous pricing signals the market treated a Napolitano win as effectively settled. Azuro's order book showed much more balanced numbers on the same names (Napolitano 58.5%, Barrena 48.5%), but with zero volume and liquidity those quotes carry little informational weight.

On side markets, Polymarket had "Over 2.5 games" totals around 73.0%–74.5% versus the corresponding Unders at 25.5%–27.0%. Across the liquid venues, Polymarket and Kalshi agreed closely, while thin Azuro quotes were the main outlier.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-16; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex Barrena Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex Barrena Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Handicap -1 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 4 outcomes
- Handicap -2 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/35413?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/34244?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/35352?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/napolitano-vs-barrena.

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