---
title: "National Book Award for Nonfiction — 2026 | Nonfiction"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/national-book-award-for-nonfiction-2026-nonfiction
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-18T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 17056.72
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:31:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/national-book-award-for-nonfiction-2026-nonfiction
---

# National Book Award for Nonfiction — 2026 | Nonfiction

Live · $17,057 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The 77th National Book Awards is scheduled to take place Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground | — | 63¢ on Kalshi | 63¢ |
| Mother Tongue | — | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint | — | 41¢ on Kalshi | 41¢ |
| Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood | — | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Tie | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/608823?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/national-book-award-for-nonfiction-2026-nonfiction.

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