---
title: "NE Patriots vs BUF Bills"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ne-patriots-vs-buf-bills-kalshi-0ac7fc68
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-04T17:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-29T22:16:38+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T20:13:31+00:00
total_volume_usd: 40631274.88
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "American Football"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-13T20:55:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ne-patriots-vs-buf-bills-kalshi-0ac7fc68
---

# NE Patriots vs BUF Bills

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC · $40,631,275 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**New England Patriots** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

This game pits a struggling New England Patriots team (1-2) against the previously unbeaten Buffalo Bills (3-0), with the Patriots favored to take the AFC East road matchup despite the disparity in records. The market has been live since the game kicked off, and as of the snapshot, New England leads, 21-17, early in the second half, which aligns with the Patriots being the current favorite at a 51.5% consensus probability across platforms. Buffalo trails closely behind at 49.5%, reflecting a tight, back-and-forth contest where the lead has changed hands multiple times.

Pricing diverges meaningfully across venues: Gemini (53.0%), Novig (52.8%), Limitless (52.5%), and Kalshi (51.5%) all lean toward the Patriots, while Polymarket stands out as an outlier, pricing New England at just 41.5% and instead favoring Buffalo at 58.5%. This produces a notable 10.5-point spread on both outcomes, with Polymarket offering the cheapest Patriots entry and Novig the cheapest Bills entry. Polymarket US sits closer to a coin-flip, splitting 49.4%/50.6%. Given that the 1-2 Patriots needing to beat the 3-0 Bills in the AFC East made them underdogs entering the week, the in-game lead has pushed New England's implied probability above 50% on most books even as Polymarket continues to price Buffalo as the likelier winner. Overall, the market reflects a genuinely close contest, with no single platform showing overwhelming confidence in either side.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-04; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 54.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 47.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 50.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 51.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 53.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 31.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 33.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 35.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 37.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 39.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 41.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 45.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 43.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 49.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 55.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 57.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 59.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 61.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 63.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 65.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 67.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 69.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 71.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 48.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 52.5 — 4 outcomes
- New England Patriots over 0.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- Buffalo Bills wins 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- New England Patriots wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Buffalo Bills wins 2nd quarter — 2 outcomes
- New England Patriots wins 2nd quarter — 2 outcomes
- New England Patriots wins 4th quarter — 2 outcomes
- New England Patriots wins 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 2nd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Buffalo Bills over 1.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 3rd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Buffalo Bills first to 21 points — 2 outcomes
- NE Patriots by 1-6 — 2 outcomes
- NE Patriots by 7-14 — 2 outcomes
- BUF Bills by 15+ — 2 outcomes
- … and 1432 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/714220?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/652290?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/591791?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/662860?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/621944?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/344028?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/575469?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ne-patriots-vs-buf-bills-kalshi-0ac7fc68.

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