---
title: "Negative GDP growth in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/negative-gdp-growth-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-29T00:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 33433.92
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:52:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/negative-gdp-growth-in-2026
---

# Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Live · $33,434 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.

Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 2.1¢ on Polymarket | 2.1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6112?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/negative-gdp-growth-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.