---
title: "New York vs Minnesota"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/new-york-vs-minnesota
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T19:34:31+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6207303.91
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Basketball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:00:46+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-york-vs-minnesota
---

# New York vs Minnesota

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC · $6,207,304 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Minnesota Lynx** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This is a WNBA matchup between the New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx, played at Target Center on July 11. The matchup brings together the leaders of the Western and Eastern Conferences — two teams widely regarded as the main contenders for the championship. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket ask whether Minnesota or New York wins outright, with a range of in-game props covering spread, totals, quarter-by-quarter outcomes, and individual player performance for stars like Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones.

The Minnesota Lynx are the clear favourite, priced at 73.0% on Kalshi and 67.5% on Polymarket — a notable 5.5-point cross-platform spread that represents the widest gap in the event's moneyline markets. The Lynx have won 15 of their last 20 games, and the home-court edge at Target Center is a key factor baked into those odds. Minnesota played without star rookie Olivia Miles in recent games due to a calf injury, but she is expected to return for this contest, which likely bolsters Minnesota's case as favourite. Still, just days ago, the Liberty took a convincing head-to-head win, 99–86, so the Lynx will be fired up to get revenge in front of their home fans. In that prior meeting, the Liberty shot a season-high 58.1% from the floor, led by Breanna Stewart's season-high 36 points on 14-of-19 shooting.

On totals, markets lean heavily toward the under — Kalshi prices the under 160.5 at 58.0% — suggesting a relatively defensive-oriented game is expected. The 5.5-point gap between Kalshi (73.0%) and Polymarket (67.5%) on the Minnesota moneyline is the standout cross-platform discrepancy and the most actionable divergence in an otherwise well-aligned market.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total — 9 outcomes
- Spread — 9 outcomes
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 18.5 — 2 outcomes
- Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 175.5 — 2 outcomes
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 16.5 — 2 outcomes
- Courtney Williams: Points O/U 16.5 — 2 outcomes
- Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Pauline Astier: Points O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Threes — 14 outcomes
- Assists — 7 outcomes
- Points — 27 outcomes
- Total O/U 174.5 — 2 outcomes
- Rebounds — 24 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Quarter Total — 7 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Total — 7 outcomes
- First Half Spread — 3 outcomes
- Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Spread — 7 outcomes
- 1st Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 2nd Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 2nd Quarter Spread — 7 outcomes
- 4th Quarter Total — 7 outcomes
- 3rd Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 3rd Quarter Total — 7 outcomes
- 3rd Quarter Spread — 7 outcomes
- Second Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Second Half Total — 7 outcomes
- Second Half Spread — 7 outcomes
- 4th Quarter Winner — 3 outcomes
- 4th Quarter Spread — 7 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 173.5 — 2 outcomes
- Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 14 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16406?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/19854?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-york-vs-minnesota.

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