---
title: "New York Y vs Chicago WS"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/new-york-y-vs-chicago-ws-kalshi-e50b84cc
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-28T23:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-04T23:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-29T02:34:28+00:00
total_volume_usd: 8932795.54
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-15T00:28:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-york-y-vs-chicago-ws-kalshi-e50b84cc
---

# New York Y vs Chicago WS

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-28 23:40 UTC · $8,932,796 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**New York Yankees** won. Settled 2026-07-29.

## About

This market covers the July 28 MLB game at Rate Field in Chicago between the New York Yankees and the Chicago White Sox, part of a four-game series. The moneyline market resolves to "New York Yankees" if New York wins outright and "Chicago White Sox" if Chicago wins. The Yankees are the current favourite at 52.0% on both Polymarket and Kalshi — a slim edge reflecting a genuinely competitive matchup between two teams with winning records. The Yankees (60-46) enter looking to build on a come-from-behind 9-5 win over the White Sox (55-50) in game one of the series. New York sits 2.5 games behind Tampa Bay in the AL East, while Chicago holds a two-game lead in the AL Central.

The Yankees send Gerrit Cole (3-5, 3.92 ERA) to the mound, opposed by Chicago's Anthony Kay (7-4, 4.30 ERA). Markets price Cole as a meaningful advantage: Kalshi has him recording 5+ strikeouts at 77.0% and 6+ at 61.0%, while Cole carries a 2.56 xFIP and 0.90 WHIP over the past month. By contrast, Kay has shown signs of slowing down, with his last five outings lasting 79, 83, 92, 48, and 73 pitches respectively. The Chicago White Sox moneyline shows the only notable cross-platform spread in this event — Polymarket prices them at 47.0% against Kalshi's 49.0%, a 2-point gap — while all other markets are single-platform and spread-free. Total-runs markets lean heavily high-scoring, with over 2.5 runs at 97.0% and over 7.5 runs at 53.0% on Kalshi. Across both platforms, the Yankees hold a razor-thin edge, and the lone cross-platform discrepancy on the White Sox moneyline is the only meaningful arbitrage signal in an otherwise tightly aligned set of markets.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-28; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: New York Yankees — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Amed Rosario: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 16 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 72 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 18 outcomes
- RBIs — 37 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 88 outcomes
- Home Runs — 35 outcomes
- Hits — 55 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- José Caballero: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- José Caballero: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Braden Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Braden Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Tristan Peters: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Tristan Peters: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- … and 27 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/102486?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/78397?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-york-y-vs-chicago-ws-kalshi-e50b84cc.

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