---
title: "New York Y vs Tampa Bay"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/new-york-y-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-1adb1e57
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-03T22:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T10:19:13+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T01:09:51+00:00
total_volume_usd: 13670543.43
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T07:15:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-york-y-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-1adb1e57
---

# New York Y vs Tampa Bay

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-03 22:30 UTC · $13,670,543 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket

## Result

**Tampa Bay Rays** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

This MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays is scheduled for October 3 at 6:30 PM ET. It is a two-outcome market: one side resolves for the Yankees if they win, the other for the Rays if they win. Polymarket's rules state that a postponed game keeps the market open until completion, and a cancellation with no make-up game or a tie resolves 50-50. Kalshi's rules call for a fair-price resolution if the game is cancelled or moved more than two days out. Total volume across listings is about $1.29 million, led by Kalshi ($408,336) and Novig ($397,013).

Tampa Bay is the favourite at a 55.5% consensus, about 10 points ahead of New York's 45.5%. That gap signals a modest, not overwhelming, edge for the Rays. Gemini, Polymarket and Kalshi all have Tampa Bay at a 55.5% midpoint, and Novig sits slightly lower at 55.3%. For the Yankees, Kalshi and Gemini show 45.5%, Novig 44.8% and Polymarket 44.5%. Azuro was excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity.

The Rays' cross-platform spread is just 0.25 points, and the Yankees' is 0.75 points, with Polymarket the lowest-priced venue for New York. Pricing is closely aligned across Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig and Gemini, with no platform materially out of step on either outcome.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Drew Rasmussen: 4+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- Ben Rice: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Ben Rice: 1+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 1+ Hits — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: New York Yankees −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: New York Yankees −3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: New York Yankees −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 2+ Total Bases — 2 outcomes
- Ben Rice: 1+ Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 2+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 2+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: 2+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 3+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 3+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: 3+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 4+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 4+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: 4+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Junior Caminero: 5+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Yandy Díaz: 5+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Jonathan Aranda: 5+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- First 3 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- … and 457 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/703144?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/676167?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/676076?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/678648?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679027?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-york-y-vs-tampa-bay-kalshi-1adb1e57.

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