---
title: "New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? — Before Nov 7, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/new-zealand-prime-minister-after-the-election-before-nov-7-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-07T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 16298.73
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:20:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-zealand-prime-minister-after-the-election-before-nov-7-2027
---

# New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? — Before Nov 7, 2027

Live · $16,299 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Nov 7, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Luxon | 54% | 58¢ on Kalshi | 58¢ |
| Chris Hipkins | 40% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |
| Chris Bishop | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Chlöe Swarbrick | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Simeon Brown | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| David Seymour | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Winston Peters | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Marama Davidson | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Debbie Ngarewa-Packer | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Rawiri Waititi | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Qiulae Wong | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Nicola Willis | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Erica Stanford | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Mark Mitchell | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/496079?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/new-zealand-prime-minister-after-the-election-before-nov-7-2027.

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