---
title: "Next Canadian federal election winner? — in 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-canadian-federal-election-winner-in-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-10-15T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 67.09
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:33:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-canadian-federal-election-winner-in-2029
---

# Next Canadian federal election winner? — in 2029

Live · $67 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party | — | — | — |
| Conservative Party | — | — | — |
| New Democratic Party | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292513?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-canadian-federal-election-winner-in-2029.

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