---
title: "Next Claude Haiku released by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-claude-haiku-released-by
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-07T20:11:29+00:00
total_volume_usd: 40121.02
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-18T00:11:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-claude-haiku-released-by
---

# Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Settled · $40,121 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-10-07.

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Other markets

- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- October 15 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7508?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-claude-haiku-released-by.

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