---
title: "Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — On Apr 18, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-french-presidential-election-1st-place-1st-round-on-apr-18-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-04-18T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 69175.51
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:37:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election-1st-place-1st-round-on-apr-18-2027
---

# Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — On Apr 18, 2027

Live · $69,176 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it.

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 1st, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 83% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| David Lisnard | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| François Hollande | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| François Ruffin | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Xavier Bertrand | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Marine Tondelier | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/819929?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election-1st-place-1st-round-on-apr-18-2027).

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