---
title: "Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — On Apr 18, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-french-presidential-election-2nd-place-1st-round-on-apr-18-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-04-18T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 112009.29
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:20:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election-2nd-place-1st-round-on-apr-18-2027
---

# Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — On Apr 18, 2027

Live · $112,009 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 46% | 47¢ on Polymarket | 49¢ | 47¢ |
| David Lisnard | 18% | 20¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ | 20¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 17% | 18¢ on Polymarket | 20¢ | 18¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 8% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 12¢ | 8¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 7% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 9¢ | 8¢ |
| Christine Lagarde | 6% | 9¢ on Polymarket | — | 9¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 2% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 2% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1.8¢ |
| François Hollande | 2% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1.4¢ |
| Marine Tondelier | 2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 2% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.7¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.1¢ |
| François Ruffin | 2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Xavier Bertrand | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | — |
| Jordan Bardella | 1% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 0.7¢ |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ |
| Sarah Knafo | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/820083?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/816997?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election-2nd-place-1st-round-on-apr-18-2027).

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