---
title: "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-french-presidential-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-04-19T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 323369.43
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:39:50+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round
---

# Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Live · $323,369 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Jordan Bardella

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |

## Other markets

- Éric Zemmour — 2 outcomes
- Laurent Wauquiez — 2 outcomes
- Gabriel Attal — 2 outcomes
- Fabien Roussel — 2 outcomes
- François Asselineau — 2 outcomes
- Valérie Pécresse — 2 outcomes
- Manuel Bompard — 2 outcomes
- Other — 2 outcomes
- Marine Le Pen — 2 outcomes
- Édouard Philippe — 2 outcomes
- François Ruffin — 2 outcomes
- François Hollande — 2 outcomes
- Marine Tondelier — 2 outcomes
- Olivier Faure — 2 outcomes
- Ségolène Royal — 2 outcomes
- Michel Barnier — 2 outcomes
- Jean Castex — 2 outcomes
- Mathilde Panot — 2 outcomes
- Juan Branco — 2 outcomes
- Sébastien Lecornu — 2 outcomes
- David Lisnard — 2 outcomes
- Xavier Bertrand — 2 outcomes
- Raphaël Glucksmann — 2 outcomes
- Dominique de Villepin — 2 outcomes
- Élisabeth Borne — 2 outcomes
- Gérald Darmanin — 2 outcomes
- Bernard Cazeneuve — 2 outcomes
- Sarah Knafo — 2 outcomes
- Bruno Retailleau — 2 outcomes
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon — 2 outcomes
- Clémentine Autain — 2 outcomes
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan — 2 outcomes
- François Bayrou — 2 outcomes
- Yaël Braun-Pivet — 2 outcomes
- Carole Delga — 2 outcomes
- Clémence Guetté — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6129?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-french-presidential-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round.

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