---
title: "Next Israeli government formed by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-israeli-government-formed-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 195672.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:17:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-israeli-government-formed-by
---

# Next Israeli government formed by...?

Live · $195,672 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.

Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## November 30, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | 17¢ on Polymarket | 17¢ |
| No | 84% | 86¢ on Polymarket | 86¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- February 28, 2027 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1020375?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-israeli-government-formed-by).

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