---
title: "Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-muse-wonder-11-released-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5192.94
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:31:19+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-muse-wonder-11-released-by
---

# Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

Live · $5,193 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Wonder model (1.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Wonder" and be designated as version 1.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.1 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Wonder (muse-wonder-1.0) or Muse Wonder Full (muse-wonder-full-1.0) would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Wonder 2, while models whose name does not include "Wonder," such as Muse Spark or Muse Glimmer models, or which retain a version designation of 1.0 or below, such as Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full (both released October 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of either, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## January 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82% | 87¢ on Polymarket | 87¢ |
| No | 18% | 23¢ on Polymarket | 23¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/819158?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-muse-wonder-11-released-by).

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