---
title: "Next Prime Minister of Italy?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-prime-minister-of-italy
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 92608.15
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:27:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-italy
---

# Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Live · $92,608 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 55% | 55¢ on Polymarket | 55¢ |
| Elly Schlein | 19% | 20¢ on Polymarket | 20¢ |
| Giuseppe Conte | 13% | 14¢ on Polymarket | 14¢ |
| Roberto Vannacci | 8% | 9.3¢ on Polymarket | 9.3¢ |
| Silvia Salis | 5% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | 6.9¢ |
| Matteo Renzi | 0.9% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | 1.4¢ |
| Mario Draghi | 0.8% | 1.3¢ on Polymarket | 1.3¢ |
| Matteo Salvini | 0.6% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ |
| Angelo Bonelli | 0.4% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 0.7¢ |
| Carlo Calenda | 0.4% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ |
| Antonio Tajani | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Guido Crosetto | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5862?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-italy.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.