---
title: "Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/next-zai-glm-54-released-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 23543.26
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:58:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-zai-glm-54-released-by
---

# Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Live · $23,543 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify. Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Z.ai as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Z.ai, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66% | 77¢ on Polymarket | 77¢ |
| No | 35% | 46¢ on Polymarket | 46¢ |

## Other markets

- September 15 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- October 15 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/252680?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/next-zai-glm-54-released-by.

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