--- title: "Nigma Galaxy vs Level UP" canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nigma-galaxy-vs-level-up status: settled kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T11:30:00+00:00 trading_closes_at: 2026-07-11T12:30:00+00:00 settled_at: 2026-07-10T14:49:33+00:00 total_volume_usd: 489119.12 venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"] categories: ["Sports", "Esports"] prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:59:00+00:00 publisher: BetCrypto data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nigma-galaxy-vs-level-up --- # Nigma Galaxy vs Level UP Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC · $489,119 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket ## Result **Nigma Galaxy** won. Settled 2026-07-10. ## About This match is a Dota 2 best-of-two in Group B of the Esports World Cup 2026 in Paris, scheduled for July 10. Nigma Galaxy is the clear favourite. Let me write the description. Prediction markets are pricing a Dota 2 best-of-two between Nigma Galaxy and Level UP in Group B of the Esports World Cup 2026 in Paris, part of a single round-robin group stage running from 7 to 12 July with best-of-two matches. Winner markets sit on Polymarket and Kalshi, alongside a "draw (1-1)" market on Polymarket resolving Yes if the series ends level. Nigma Galaxy is the consensus favourite at 82.0% on Kalshi and 80.5% on Polymarket, with Level UP priced at 24.0% and 21.0% respectively on Polymarket and 75.0% "No" on Kalshi's Level UP side — a cross-platform spread of just 1.5 points on the favourite. The draw ("Tie/Yes") outcome is quoted around 66.5% on one Polymarket line and 75.0% on Kalshi, reflecting the format's high probability of a split series. Level UP's implied win chance in the mid-20s signals markets view them as significant underdogs but not without a game. The pricing tracks form heading into the match. Level UP were forced to a 1-1 draw earlier in the group and remained on the hunt for their first win, taking on PlayTime, and PlayTime kept Level UP winless, leaving Level UP without a series victory in the group. Nigma Galaxy, by contrast, have surged: they defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in Round 3, in one of the biggest upsets of Day 3, and remain tied with Aurora Gaming for the lead of Group B with a good chance to secure a direct berth to the Playoffs. Across platforms, pricing is tightly aligned around Nigma Galaxy as a heavy but not overwhelming favourite. _AI-written summary written 2026-07-10; its figures date from then — the table below is live._ ## Other markets - Match Result (1x2): Level UP — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: First Blood in Game 2? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: First Blood in Game 1? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes - Map 1 — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Game 1 Winner — 2 outcomes - Match Result (1x2): Draw — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Game 2 Winner — 2 outcomes - Match Result (1x2): Nigma Galaxy — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Ends in Daytime — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Both Teams Beat Roshan — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Both Teams Destroy Barracks — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Any Player Ultra Kill — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Any Player Rampage — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Ends in Daytime — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Both Teams Beat Roshan — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Both Teams Destroy Barracks — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Any Player Ultra Kill — 2 outcomes - Esports World Cup Group B: Any Player Rampage — 2 outcomes _Every market's prices are on the event page._ ## Open on a venue - [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17368?via=md) - [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16515?via=md) - [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16918?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nigma-galaxy-vs-level-up. BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.