---
title: "NL Cy Young Winner? — 2026 season"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nl-cy-young-winner-2026-season
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4476295.79
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:14:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nl-cy-young-winner-2026-season
---

# NL Cy Young Winner? — 2026 season

Live · $4,476,296 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

The NL Cy Young Winner market for the 2026 season asks which pitcher will take home the National League's top pitching award, as determined by MLB at season's end. It is listed across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini, with Kalshi accounting for the lion's share of the roughly $3.0M in combined volume. Dozens of names populate the board, but the field is dominated by one contender.

Jacob Misiorowski is the clear favourite at a 93.0% consensus, priced at 95.0% on Gemini, 92.0% on Kalshi, and 89.3% on Polymarket. That puts him more than 85 points ahead of the next names in line: Chris Sale at a 6.5% consensus and Cristopher Sanchez at 5.0%. Beyond that trio, the remaining arms — including Shohei Ohtani, Paul Skenes, Zack Wheeler, Logan Webb, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto — all sit at roughly 1.5% or below, essentially treated as long shots.

The most notable spread sits on the favourite himself: Polymarket prices Misiorowski about 5.7 points cheaper than Gemini, a 3.9-point gap around a near-consensus name. Across platforms, the takeaway is a heavily concentrated market on Misiorowski, with Polymarket the most cautious of the three books.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 98% | 97¢ on Polymarket US | — | 99¢ | 99¢ | 97¢ |
| Quinn Priester | 0.8% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.9¢ |
| Blake Snell | 0.7% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ |
| Brandon Woodruff | 0.7% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.8¢ |
| Cristopher Sanchez | 0.4% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 2¢ | 0.8¢ | — |
| Paul Skenes | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Logan Webb | 0.3% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Edward Cabrera | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.4¢ |
| Shota Imanaga | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.4¢ |
| Brady Singer | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | — | 0.3¢ |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 1.5¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Nolan McLean | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Michael King | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Nick Lodolo | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.5¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Sandy Alcantara | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.2¢ |
| Joe Musgrove | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | — | 0.2¢ |
| Bryce Elder | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Kyle Harrison | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Chris Sale | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | 3¢ | 1¢ | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Hunter Greene | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Freddy Peralta | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.2¢ | — |
| Zack Wheeler | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Spencer Strider | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Spencer Schwellenbach | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Tyler Glasnow | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Jesus Luzardo | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Nick Pivetta | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Eury Perez | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Chase Burns | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Andrew Abbott | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.1¢ |
| Roki Sasaki | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Aaron Nola | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Bubba Chandler | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Cade Horton | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Hurston Waldrep | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Jared Jones | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kodai Senga | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Mason Miller | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Matthew Boyd | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Mitch Keller | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Robbie Ray | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Jhoan Duran | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| David Peterson | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | — | 0.1¢ |
| Merrill Kelly | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Manaea | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tie/Co-Winners | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ | — | — |
| Chase Dollander | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Soroka | — | — | — | — | — | — |

_7 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/300649?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2482?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5073?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299619?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nl-cy-young-winner-2026-season.

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