---
title: "NL Rookie of the Year Winner? — 2026 season"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nl-rookie-of-the-year-winner-2026-season
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-08T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4375896
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:26:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nl-rookie-of-the-year-winner-2026-season
---

# NL Rookie of the Year Winner? — 2026 season

Live · $4,375,896 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi

## About

This market asks who will win the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award, with resolution tied to the official announcement at the end of the MLB season in December. It is listed on both Kalshi, where the bulk of the roughly $2.6M in volume sits, and Gemini, where activity is much thinner. Traders can back any of a long list of named rookies, plus a "Tie/Co-Winners" contingency.

JJ Wetherholt is the clear favourite at a 55.0% consensus, trailed by Sal Stewart at 35.0%. Together those two absorb about 90% of the implied probability, leaving Carson Benge at 11.5% and Nolan McLean at 8.0% as the only other names in double digits or close to it. Every remaining candidate sits at 2.0% or below, indicating the field views this as a two-horse race with a modest lean toward Wetherholt rather than a runaway.

Cross-platform pricing is broadly aligned, but Gemini is consistently more bullish on Wetherholt (57.0%) than Kalshi (53.0%), a 2.5-point spread, and similarly prices McLean at 10.0% versus Kalshi's 8.0%. Kalshi, meanwhile, marginally favours Stewart at 35.0% against Gemini's 37.0%. The takeaway: both venues agree Wetherholt leads Stewart, with only minor disagreement on how wide that lead is.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-21; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 76% | 77¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ | 77¢ |
| Carson Benge | 26% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ | 27¢ |
| T.J. Rumfield | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| JJ Wetherholt | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Nolan McLean | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Moises Ballesteros | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Bubba Chandler | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Justin Crawford | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Bryce Eldridge | — | 1¢ on Gemini | 1¢ | 1¢ |
| Konnor Griffin | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Owen Caissie | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Jonah Tong | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Rhett Lowder | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Joe Mack | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Quinn Mathews | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Jhostnyxon Garcia | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Andrew Painter | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Alex Freeland | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Hunter Barco | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Jett Williams | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Chase Petty | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Robby Snelling | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Jaxon Wiggins | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Aidan Miller | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Charlie Condon | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Thomas White | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Zac Veen | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| Tie/Co-Winners | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ |
| JR Ritchie | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299942?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2479?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nl-rookie-of-the-year-winner-2026-season.

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