---
title: "Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/northeast-cat-3-hurricane-landfall-by-dec-31-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:58:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 45070.53
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:37:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/northeast-cat-3-hurricane-landfall-by-dec-31-2026
---

# Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?

Live · $45,071 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a Category 3 or higher hurricane makes landfall in the Northeast United States between October 6, 2026 at 11:30:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

Covered states, including their islands: Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Maine. NHC's initial operational landfall report governs, subject to the contract's material-error correction rules.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/741839?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/northeast-cat-3-hurricane-landfall-by-dec-31-2026.

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