---
title: "Northern Ireland Assembly election winner? — in 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/northern-ireland-assembly-election-winner-in-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-05-05T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1.27
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:18:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/northern-ireland-assembly-election-winner-in-2027
---

# Northern Ireland Assembly election winner? — in 2027

Live · $1 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO
The Assembly has 90 seats; there are no overhang, levelling or appointed seats
The market covers the first Northern Ireland Assembly election held after Issuance, whether on the scheduled date or earlier

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sinn Féin | — | — | — |
| DUP | — | — | — |
| UUP | — | — | — |
| Alliance | — | — | — |
| TUV | — | — | — |
| SDLP | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/995891?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/northern-ireland-assembly-election-winner-in-2027).

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