---
title: "Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-08T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4150.66
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:45:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner
---

# Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

Live · $4,151 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gintautas Kindurys | 51% | 62¢ on Polymarket | 62¢ |
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 22% | 33¢ on Polymarket | 33¢ |
| Vladislav Kondratovič | 16% | 21¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 14% | 17¢ on Polymarket | 17¢ |
| Antanas Šakalis | 8% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |
| Andrej Šildiajėv | 6% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |
| Maksimas Paukštė | 5% | 7.9¢ on Polymarket | 7.9¢ |
| Viktor Voronin | 4% | 7.2¢ on Polymarket | 7.2¢ |
| Giedrius Dainys | 4% | 7.2¢ on Polymarket | 7.2¢ |
| Mėta Palauskaitė | 4% | 4.9¢ on Polymarket | 4.9¢ |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 2% | 3.6¢ on Polymarket | 3.6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/604645?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.