---
title: "Norway vs Portugal"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/norway-vs-portugal-kalshi-3a42145f
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-09-27T18:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-30T00:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-27T22:01:28+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7803685.34
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T08:09:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/norway-vs-portugal-kalshi-3a42145f
---

# Norway vs Portugal

Settled · kickoff 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC · $7,803,685 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Portugal** won. Settled 2026-09-27.

## About

Norway host Portugal in a UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for 27 September 2026, and prediction markets are treating it as one of the tightest three-way match lines on the board. The three-way moneyline covers a Norway win, a Portugal win, or a draw at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded.

Across platforms, Norway sits as a narrow favourite at a consensus 44.6%, priced 44.6% on Azuro, 43.0% on Kalshi, 42.0% on Polymarket US and 41.5% on Polymarket. Portugal follows at a consensus 35.5% (Azuro 35.5%, Polymarket US 35.0%, Polymarket 34.5%, Kalshi 34.0%), while the draw is bunched at roughly 26.3% (Azuro 26.3%, Polymarket US 26.0%, Kalshi 26.0%, Polymarket 25.0%). Total-goals markets lean toward a moderate-scoring game, with Over 1.5 around 85.5% on Kalshi and Over 2.5 near 65.5%, while Over 3.5 sits at 43.5%.

The widest three-way spread is on Norway, where Azuro's 44.6% is about 3.1 points above Polymarket's 41.5%; Portugal and the draw are aligned within roughly one point across venues. Overall, books agree Norway is a slight favourite in a close, low-margin matchup.

_AI-written summary written 2026-09-27; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Corners O/U 7.5 — 4 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 4 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Norway — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Portugal — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Norway (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Norway — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Norway O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Norway O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Norway O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Portugal O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Portugal O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Portugal O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Norway 1st Half O/U 2.5 (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Norway 1st Half O/U 3.5 (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Portugal 1st Half O/U 2.5 (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Portugal 1st Half O/U 3.5 (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Norway 2nd Half O/U 2.5 (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Norway 2nd Half O/U 3.5 (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Portugal 2nd Half O/U 2.5 (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Portugal 2nd Half O/U 3.5 (2h) — 2 outcomes
- No team scores in the second half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- POR wins 3-0 — 2 outcomes
- NOR wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Draw 2-2 — 2 outcomes
- Norway wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Norway scores first in the second half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Portugal scores first in the second half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Both teams to score in the second half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Spread 2.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- … and 742 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/640487?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/600612?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/525104?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/588825?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/norway-vs-portugal-kalshi-3a42145f.

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