---
title: "Nothing Ever Happens: October"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nothing-ever-happens-october
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5736.28
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:31:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nothing-ever-happens-october
---

# Nothing Ever Happens: October

Live · $5,736 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- Bitcoin all time high
- Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 93% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |
| No | 8% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/664011?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nothing-ever-happens-october.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.