---
title: "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nuevo-leon-governor-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-06-06T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 79463.93
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:31:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nuevo-leon-governor-election-winner
---

# Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Live · $79,464 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 39% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ | 44¢ |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 22% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ | 27¢ |
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 14% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ | 34¢ |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | 7% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 13¢ |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 7% | 9.3¢ on Polymarket | 13¢ | 9.3¢ |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 9.5¢ |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 8.6¢ |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 8.7¢ |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 7.5¢ |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 7.6¢ |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 6.6¢ |
| Waldo Fernández González | 4% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 6.5¢ |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 3% | 5.5¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ | 5.5¢ |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 2% | 4.4¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 4.4¢ |
| Martha Herrera González | 2% | 3.7¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 3.7¢ |
| Héctor García García | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 12¢ |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 12¢ |
| Fernando Jesús Margáin Sada | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 12¢ |
| David de la Peña Marroquín | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | — |
| Ivonne Liliana Álvarez García | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |
| César Garza Arredondo | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/496233?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/181463?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nuevo-leon-governor-election-winner).

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