---
title: "Number of rate cuts in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/number-of-rate-cuts-in-2026-in-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 10451592.87
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:50:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/number-of-rate-cuts-in-2026-in-2026
---

# Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $10,451,593 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 0 cuts | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Exactly 1 cut | 3% | 3.2¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Exactly 2 cuts | 2% | 1.7¢ on Kalshi | 1.7¢ |
| Exactly 4 cuts | 0.4% | 0.7¢ on Kalshi | 0.7¢ |
| Exactly 5 cuts | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Kalshi | 0.4¢ |
| Exactly 3 cuts | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ |
| Exactly 14 cuts | — | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ |
| Exactly 6 cuts | — | 0.4¢ on Kalshi | 0.4¢ |
| Exactly 7 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 8 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 9 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 10 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 11 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 12 cuts | — | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | 0.2¢ |
| Exactly 13 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 15 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 16 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 17 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 18 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 19 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |
| Exactly 20 cuts | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2464?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/number-of-rate-cuts-in-2026-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.