---
title: "Number of rate hikes in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 183406.9
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:34:28+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026
---

# Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Live · $183,407 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 | 71% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| Exactly 1 | 26% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Exactly 3 | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| At least 4 | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Exactly 0 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/539811?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/number-of-rate-hikes-in-2026.

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