---
title: "NY-12 House Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ny-12-house-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 37451.11
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:52:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ny-12-house-election-winner
---

# NY-12 House Election Winner

Live · $37,451 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | — | 98¢ | 99¢ |
| Republican | 2% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 2.7¢ | 0.4¢ | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1625?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6299?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/302805?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ny-12-house-election-winner.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.