---
title: "NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)? — 2025-2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027-2025-2027
status: live
kickoff_at: 2028-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2028-06-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 88415.64
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027-2025-2027
---

# NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)? — 2025-2027

Live · kickoff 2028-06-01 00:00 UTC · $88,416 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Population change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decrease 0-0.99% | 40% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Increase 0.01-0.99% | 45% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Decrease 1-1.99% | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Increase 1-1.99% | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Decrease 2-2.99% | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Increase 2-2.99% | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Decrease 3% or more | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Increase 3% or more | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/421?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027-2025-2027.

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