---
title: "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/nz-election-national-party-of-seats
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-08T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 22846.28
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:32:50+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nz-election-national-party-of-seats
---

# NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Live · $22,846 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| <25 | 8% | 15¢ on Polymarket | 15¢ |
| 25-29 | 0.8% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| 30-34 | 39% | 44¢ on Polymarket | 44¢ |
| 35-39 | 39% | 43¢ on Polymarket | 43¢ |
| 40-44 | — | — | — |
| 45-49 | 6% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |
| 50+ | — | 21¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7132?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/nz-election-national-party-of-seats.

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