---
title: "Obama arrested before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/obama-arrested-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 23054.42
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:41:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/obama-arrested-before-2027
---

# Obama arrested before 2027?

Live · $23,054 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 2.7¢ on Polymarket | 2.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6490?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/obama-arrested-before-2027.

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