---
title: "October Unemployment Rate"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/october-unemployment-rate
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-06T13:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2917.1
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:24:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/october-unemployment-rate
---

# October Unemployment Rate

Live · $2,917 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.

The relevant data release is scheduled for November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Thresholds

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.8% | 99% | 99¢ on Polymarket US | — | 99¢ |
| Above 3.9% | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket US | — | 98¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 96% | 96¢ on Polymarket US | — | 96¢ |
| Above 4.1% | 69% | 69¢ on Polymarket US | — | 69¢ |
| Above 4.2% | 28% | 28¢ on Polymarket US | — | 28¢ |
| Above 4.3% | 7% | 7¢ on Polymarket US | — | 7¢ |
| Above 4.4% | 5% | 5¢ on Polymarket US | — | 5¢ |
| Above 4.5% | 3% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | — | 4¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 2% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 3.8¢ | 3¢ |

## Other markets

- Exact counts — 8 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/693550?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/754858?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/october-unemployment-rate.

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