---
title: "OpenAI resumes training by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/openai-resumes-training-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 19202.56
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:00:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/openai-resumes-training-by
---

# OpenAI resumes training by...?

Live · $19,203 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Resuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.

A qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.

Statements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.

If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 10

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 17¢ on Polymarket | 17¢ |
| No | 88% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |

## Other markets

- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- October 5 — 2 outcomes
- October 15 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/640926?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/openai-resumes-training-by.

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