---
title: "Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/oracle-downgraded-to-junk-by-moodys-or-sp-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 8595.96
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:24:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/oracle-downgraded-to-junk-by-moodys-or-sp-by
---

# Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?

Live · $8,596 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation, or its rating on Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt, to below investment grade ("junk") by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

"Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating or Moody's Ratings' long-term issuer rating on Oracle Corporation. "Below investment grade" means BB+ or lower on the S&P Global Ratings scale, or Ba1 or lower on the Moody's Ratings scale.

A downgrade of Oracle Corporation's senior unsecured debt to below investment grade by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for Oracle Corporation remains investment grade.

A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 21% | 22¢ on Polymarket | 22¢ |
| No | 79% | 80¢ on Polymarket | 80¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/911188?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/oracle-downgraded-to-junk-by-moodys-or-sp-by).

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