---
title: "Oregon US Senate Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/oregon-us-senate-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2538
venues: ["Gemini", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:56:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/oregon-us-senate-winner
---

# Oregon US Senate Winner

Live · $2,538 traded · listed on Gemini, Polymarket US

## About

Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oregon?

_From Gemini's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Merkley | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket US | — | 98¢ |
| David Brock Smith | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 5¢ | 3¢ |
| David Burch | — | — | — | — |
| Douglas Muck | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Wells | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Jake Ryan | — | — | — | — |
| Russell McAlmond | — | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/300760?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/300806?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/oregon-us-senate-winner.

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