---
title: "Orix Buffaloes vs Chiba Lotte Marines"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/orix-buffaloes-vs-chiba-lotte-marines-kalshi-6fd73e0c
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T08:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-12T11:14:38+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T11:14:38+00:00
total_volume_usd: 357396.31
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:19:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/orix-buffaloes-vs-chiba-lotte-marines-kalshi-6fd73e0c
---

# Orix Buffaloes vs Chiba Lotte Marines

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 08:00 UTC · $357,396 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi

## Result

**Orix Buffaloes** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the Nippon Professional Baseball regular-season game between the Orix Buffaloes and the Chiba Lotte Marines, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026. On Kalshi, the market resolves Yes if Orix wins, with a 50/50 resolution in the event of a tie. Azuro lists the same fixture as a three-way market that also prices the possibility of a draw.

The two platforms diverge slightly on how they see the matchup. Kalshi implies Orix at 51.0% and Chiba Lotte at 49.0%, effectively a coin flip leaning marginally toward the Buffaloes. Azuro splits its book across three outcomes, pricing both Orix and Chiba Lotte at 49.0% and assigning 16.1% to a draw. Because Azuro carves out probability for the tie outcome, its two-way sides are compressed compared with Kalshi's binary framing.

No side qualifies as a clear favourite: the Orix win probability sits between 49.0% on Azuro and 51.0% on Kalshi, a spread of about 2 points that is largely explained by the different market structures. Volume is minimal, with roughly $5 traded on Kalshi and none yet on Azuro. Overall, the two venues are broadly aligned on a near-even matchup, with the main pricing gap driven by Azuro's separate draw line.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22991?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20300?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/orix-buffaloes-vs-chiba-lotte-marines-kalshi-6fd73e0c.

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