---
title: "Oscar Winner: Best Picture — In 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/oscar-winner-best-picture-in-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-12-31T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12392292.86
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:07:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/oscar-winner-best-picture-in-2027
---

# Oscar Winner: Best Picture — In 2027

Live · $12,392,293 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

The 99th Academy Awards Best Picture race is being tracked on Polymarket and Kalshi, with the ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027. Each market resolves to the film named winner by AMPAS, with contracts on unnominated titles resolving to "No" once the January 21 nominations are announced. Kalshi carries the bulk of activity at roughly $4.07M in volume, versus about $110K on Polymarket.

The Odyssey is the clear frontrunner at a consensus 58.5%, priced at 59.0% on Kalshi and 54.0% on Polymarket — a 4.5-point cross-platform gap and a lead of roughly 46 points over the next contender. Dune: Part Three sits a distant second at 12.5% consensus (14.0% Polymarket, 13.0% Kalshi), followed by The Black Ball at 7.5%, and Wild Horse Nine and Digger tied at 5.5%. Beyond the top five, no title clears 3%.

Notable spreads sit in the mid-tier: Wild Horse Nine is 9.5% on Polymarket versus 6.0% on Kalshi (4.0 points), Fjord 6.0% versus 3.0% (3.5 points), and Behemoth 4.7% versus 2.0% (3.1 points), with Polymarket consistently pricing these longer shots higher. Across both venues, the market treats The Odyssey as a dominant favourite with only modest disagreement on its exact edge.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 61% | 58¢ on Polymarket | 61¢ | 58¢ |
| The Black Ball | 14% | 13¢ on Polymarket | 15¢ | 13¢ |
| You Can See Everything | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ | 21¢ |
| Dune: Part Three | 8% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ | 7¢ |
| Wild Horse Nine | 3% | 2.5¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ | 2.5¢ |
| Artificial | 2% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.3¢ |
| The Invite | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.5¢ |
| The Drama | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Behemoth | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| I Play Rocky | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ |
| Clarissa | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| Saturn Return | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| Tony | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| Fatherland | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ |
| Film A | — | — | — | — |
| Digger | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | 3.1¢ |
| Project Hail Mary | — | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Fjord | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| The Social Reckoning | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| The Debut | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Elsinore | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Disclosure Day | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Michael | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| The Entertainment System Is Down | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Werwulf | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Josephine | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Sense and Sensibility | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| I Love Boosters | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Avengers: Doomsday | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| The Death of Robin Hood | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Ink | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| All of a Sudden | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Cry to Heaven | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Tie | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| 1949 / Fatherland | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Paper Tiger | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Hope | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Minotaur | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Parallel Tales | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Jack of Spades | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Obsession | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Club Kid | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Being Heumann | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Primetime | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Tender Loving Care | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292931?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/118007?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/oscar-winner-best-picture-in-2027).

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