---
title: "Paddy Pimblett vs Benoît Saint Denis"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/paddy-pimblett-vs-benoit-saint-denis
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-12T03:59:59+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T03:35:56+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3822650.63
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "MMA"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:09:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/paddy-pimblett-vs-benoit-saint-denis
---

# Paddy Pimblett vs Benoît Saint Denis

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 21:00 UTC · $3,822,651 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Paddy Pimblett** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market is live and the snapshot was taken just after the fight concluded (snapshot at 03:13 UTC, event ending at 03:59 UTC), yet no confirmed result has surfaced in search results. The Polymarket "Paddy Pimblett" outcome sitting at 46.5% (vs. just 1.0% for Saint Denis) is a near-certain resolution signal — the market has effectively resolved. I'll write the description reflecting this post-fight state.

---

The co-main event of UFC 329 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas matched Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett against Benoît "God of War" Saint Denis in a lightweight bout that many felt would be the most explosive fight on the card. On Polymarket, participants could back either fighter to win, with a 50-50 resolution in the event of a draw or no-contest. Kalshi ran a companion market on whether the fight would end before round 2, resolving Yes if the bout finished inside the first frame.

The Polymarket winner market tells a decisive story at this snapshot. Paddy Pimblett sits at 46.5% and Benoît Saint Denis at just 1.0% — an extreme divergence that, given the market is live at the fight's conclusion, strongly signals Pimblett has been declared the winner. Saint Denis had entered the Octagon as the slight betting favourite, looking to extend his momentum while Pimblett sought to rebound from the first UFC loss of his career. Saint Denis had never gone the distance in a win in his professional career, with all 17 victories ending inside the distance — 11 by submission and 6 by KO/TKO. The opening line had BSD as high as -186, but the market moved meaningfully toward Pimblett as fight week approached. On Kalshi, the "fight ends before round 2" market settled at 99.0%, consistent with a first-round finish. With only Polymarket and Kalshi listing this event, there is no meaningful cross-platform spread on the winner market itself, and both platforms' post-fight pricing converges on the same outcome.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-12; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Round of Finish — 2 outcomes
- Fight to Go the Distance? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Pimblett to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Saint Denis to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by submission? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13045?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5918?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/paddy-pimblett-vs-benoit-saint-denis.

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