---
title: "Paraguay Presidential Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/paraguay-presidential-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-05-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11420.21
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:29:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/paraguay-presidential-election-winner
---

# Paraguay Presidential Election Winner

Live · $11,420 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election. 

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Prieto | 19% | 19¢ on Polymarket | 19¢ |
| Pedro Alliana | 16% | 23¢ on Polymarket | 23¢ |
| Ricardo Estigarribia | 12% | 12¢ on Polymarket | 12¢ |
| Arnoldo Wiens | 7% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ |
| Eduardo Nakayama | 7% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ |
| Juan Carlos Baruja | 5% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |
| Celeste Amarilla | 0.5% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Alberto Martínez Simón | 0.4% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 0.7¢ |
| Luis Pettengill | 0.4% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ |
| Kattya González | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 0.5¢ |
| Lilian Samaniego | 0.3% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 0.5¢ |
| Yolanda Paredes | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Paraguayo Cubas | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Basilio Núñez | — | 34¢ on Polymarket | 34¢ |
| Raúl Latorre | — | 34¢ on Polymarket | 34¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1152386?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/paraguay-presidential-election-winner).

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