---
title: "Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/peak-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-day-105-1011
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-13T13:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 62382.3
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:20:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/peak-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-day-105-1011
---

# Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)

Live · $62,382 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Daily counts will be evaluated from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 7 | 31% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| October 5 | 26% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| October 9 | 13% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| October 10 | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| October 11 | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| October 8 | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| October 6 | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/692389?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/peak-strait-of-hormuz-traffic-day-105-1011.

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